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The Hawk's Nest: Iranian Threat Vs. North Korea

Sunday, August 14, 2005

Iranian Threat Vs. North Korea

I am not sure who wants their powderkeg to explode first. We all know that there is little chance of the US moving on Iran any time soon because the troop strength in the region and very low public opinion of the current Middle Eastern conflict. Korea may be a different story. We have significant troop strength there, but you have a leader in Kim who is certifiable. If President Bush is not willing to go all the way, there could be another quagmire burdening US Troops. In a worse case scenario, that conflict could spark the use of "theatre specific" nukes.
The good news is it looks like the 6-party talks will resume on August 29th with similar issues to Iran - a consumer-based nuke program with a potential for light water reactors for power. Don't expect the US to allow it in the Middle East or on the Korean peninsula.

AP's take on Iran:
In a stern warning to Iran, President Bush said "all options are on the table" if the Iranians refuse to comply with international demands to halt their nuclear program, pointedly noting he
has already used force to protect U.S. security.
Bush's statement during an interview on Israeli TV late Friday was unusually harsh. He previously said diplomacy should be used to persuade Iran to suspend its nuclear program and if
that failed then the U.N. Security Security Council should impose sanctions. The U.S. government and others fear Iran's nuclear work is secretly designed to produce nuclear weapons. Iran's leaders deny that, saying it is only for the generation of
electricity.
In the interview, Bush said the United States and International Atomic Energy Agency, responded by issuing a warning to Iran on Thursday
that expressed "serious concern" about Iran's intentions.
Bush welcomed the warning, which signaled that the West wanted to give diplomacy time to ease the standoff.
In Vienna, Austria, where the IAEA is based, diplomats said Iran faced a Sept. 3 deadline to stop uranium conversion or face possible referral to the Security Council, which has the
power to impose crippling sanctions. The diplomats spoke on condition of
anonymity because they were not authorized to
discuss the IAEA board's proceedings. Iran, which insists its nuclear program
is peaceful, responded with indignation to the IAEA warning.

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